Since the elections have now taken place in april 2024, here is my prediction for the ap assembly election results that will be announced on July 4th, 2024:

- YSRCP will retain power but with a reduced majority. They may win around 100-110 seats.

- jagan Mohan reddy will continue as the chief minister, but with a weaker mandate this time.

- TDP-JSP-BJP alliance will improve their performance and emerge as the main opposition. They are expected to win around 80-90 seats.

- Pawan Kalyan's Jana Sena party is likely to win 10-15 seats, emerging as a minor but significant partner in the alliance.

- bjp may win 5-7 seats on its own strength, riding on the Modi wave.

- Regional and caste-based parties may win a handful of seats collectively.

The reasons for YSRCP losing some seats are likely to be:

- Anti-incumbency after 5 years of rule by Jagan.

- Rising inflation affecting people over the last 2 years.

- A better co-ordinated opposition campaign.

It will be a closely fought election, but YSRCP should be able to retain power albeit with a reduced margin. jagan will continue as cm but in a weaker position. The opposition alliance will improve its tally.

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