Even though A Minecraft movie and Lilo & Stitch have been huge hits this year, the overall drop in box office receipts following COVID has made it crucial to find crowd-pleasers that can spark a cultural dialogue, as was the case with Barbie and Oppenheimer two years ago.  Although it makes sense that analysts are keen to see if Warner Bros.' trust in Gunn will succeed, Superman's box office performance cannot be ascertained only by monitoring. 

Superman's early tracking had varied greatly depending on the magazine; Deadline projected a performance of between $90 and $125 million, while The hollywood Reporter projected an opening weekend of $135 million.  It's also debatable whether either would be viewed as a success by the studio because, despite a $225 million budget being proposed, Warner Bros.' marketing campaign predicts a substantial advertising expenditure.  Superman will need to demonstrate its durability after its first weekend, though, as box office data has been erratic. 

Box office tracking has become more erratic in the post-COVID age since it is now more difficult to determine moviegoers' interests using conventional tracking methods.  Despite certain trade reports that tried to minimize its success, A Minecraft movie constantly outperformed the expectations, and Sinners ended up having an incredible hold between weekends. 

Online buzz does not necessarily convert into financial success, even while tracking does account for early ticket sales.  Transformers: Rise of the Beasts was a box office failure despite having one of the best-performing trailers ever. However, word-of-mouth hits like Sound of Freedom and It Ends With Us did better than tracking estimates because it was harder to gauge marketing reach with more focused advertising campaigns.

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