US-Pakistan Mineral Deal: pakistan army Chief Asim Munir is reportedly in direct contact with former US President donald trump to encourage investment in rare earth minerals and oil mining in Pakistan.

Expert Warnings: Analysts caution that mining in regions like balochistan, Waziristan, and khyber pakhtunkhwa is highly risky due to local hostility toward the army and previous failures, even by China.

Potential US Re-Engagement: Geopolitical expert Sergio Restelli warns that US involvement could return America to conflict zones it exited under the Biden administration’s Doha Agreement.

Ethnic and Political Tensions: balochistan has a long history of ethnic and political unrest. External exploitation is likely to intensify resentment among locals.

China’s Influence: China’s CPEC projects have already fueled local dissatisfaction. US involvement in resource extraction could exacerbate tensions.

Provincial Resource Rights: Despite Pakistan’s 18th Amendment granting provincial rights, provinces like khyber pakhtunkhwa and balochistan remain poor. Profits from local resources often go to the federal center, not local development.

Resource Wealth vs. Poverty: balochistan is rich in copper, gold, coal, and rare earths but remains Pakistan’s poorest province. khyber pakhtunkhwa holds marble, granite, gems, chromite, and copper yet lacks local benefits.

US Strategic Interest: Rare minerals are a US national security priority to reduce reliance on China. pakistan seeks foreign currency, but deals are managed centrally and enforced by the army.

Historical Precedents: Projects like Reko Diq and Sandak promised billions but left locals with homelessness, pollution, and unrest.

Possible Consequences: Experts predict repression over development: villages could be turned into militarized zones, dissent criminalized, royalties withheld, and army deployed under “strategic security.”

Local Backlash: Grassroots populations may perceive US involvement as collusion with Pakistan’s military, increasing anti-American sentiment.

Summary: While the deal could bring foreign investment, experts warn it risks deepening local conflicts, exploitation, and anti-US sentiment rather than delivering sustainable development.
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D N INDUJAA

28/08/2025 06:04 PM