Pakistan's army is reportedly facing a significant ammunition crisis that threatens its combat readiness. According to sources, Pakistan's artillery stocks are so depleted that they can only support four days of intense conflict. The root cause of the crisis is that recent arms exports to ukraine, including the crucial 155 mm shells, have depleted domestic stockpiles and severely affected Pakistan's warfighting capabilities. The pakistan Ordnance Factories (POF), a state-run supplier of arms and ammunition, is struggling to replenish its arsenal due to outdated production facilities and rising global demand. The army’s reliance on artillery and armored units – especially in the context of rapid mobilization against india – makes the shortage of 155mm shells for M109 howitzers and 122mm rockets for BM-21 systems a critical vulnerability. The issue has sparked serious concerns within the military leadership, as highlighted during the Special Forces Commanders’ Conference held on May 2, 2025.
Pakistan’s military doctrine relies on a short, high-intensity war to counter India’s numerical superiority. However, the decision to export large quantities of ammunition to ukraine for short-term economic relief has compromised long-term military readiness. With limited financial resources and an economy burdened by inflation, debt, and foreign exchange shortages, pakistan is unable to maintain basic operational capability, forcing the military to cancel exercises, cut rations, and conserve fuel.

With its military capabilities weakening, pakistan has turned to cyberspace, but even here, its efforts are faltering. On May 1, hacking groups allegedly based in pakistan attempted to compromise indian websites, including the Nagrota army Public school and the Veterans health Services. These attempts were quickly thwarted by indian cybersecurity teams. The choice of soft targets such as children and retired soldiers has drawn sharp criticism. Despite the crisis, intelligence suggests that pakistan has set up new ammunition depots near the indian border in anticipation of future conflicts. However, with dwindling stocks and growing internal pressure, its preparedness remains questionable. What was now intended as a diplomatic and economic move is weakening Pakistan’s security posture – raising serious questions about its ability to respond effectively in future conflicts.

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